Oil falls to near $72 in Asia as investors mull global crude demand outlook

By Alex Kennedy, AP
Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Oil slips to near $72 as traders eye crude demand

SINGAPORE — Oil prices fell to near $72 a barrel Thursday in Asia as investors mulled whether recent signs of recovering crude demand can be sustained next year.

Benchmark crude for January delivery was down 33 cents to $72.33 at late afternoon Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

On Wednesday, the contract surged by $1.97 to settle at $72.66 after the Energy Information Administration said that crude supplies and distillate fuels including heating oil dropped by more than analysts expected.

Some analysts are skeptical that demand growth can continue beyond the middle of next year as the impact of massive government stimulus spending begins to ebb.

London-based Capital Economics expects oil to fall to near $50 a barrel by the end of next year on weaker than expected demand and a stronger U.S. dollar. Investors have often bought commodities such as crude this year as a hedge against inflation.

“As the boost from policy stimulus starts to fade and underlying weaknesses reassert themselves, demand should slow again,” Capital Economics said in a report.

“If we are right that the U.S. dollar resumes its recent recovery and fears of inflation and asset bubbles fade, oil prices should drop back next year too.”

In other Nymex trading in January contracts, heating oil fell 0.84 cent to $1.96 while gasoline fell 0.69 cent to $1.87. Natural gas rose 2.4 cents to $5.49 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, Brent crude for February delivery fell 43 cents to $73.86 on the ICE Futures exchange.

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